Heather Watson vs Julieta ParejaWashington Qualifying Final

Washington · WTA · Qualifying Final
#442WTA
1572ELO
1548Hard ELO
34 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
#290WTA
1506ELO
1452Hard ELO
17 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWL
Watson H.
4-6 6-3 5-7
Pareja J.
Watson H.
4651
Pareja J.
6372

Julieta Pareja defeated Heather Watson in the final of the Washington hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 3-6, 7-5. Pareja hit 5 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and winning 66% of first-serve points. Watson hit 8 aces and 9 double faults, converting 29% of break points and winning 74% of first-serve points.

Key context

  • Match story: Julieta Pareja closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
59%
57%
Return points won·Even
42%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Watson H.36%
Pareja J.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pareja J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+96 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1452
5.8Overall Elo 1572
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1506
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
6.5Won 74% in Usa (39)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Watson H.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw