Adrian Oetzbach vs Mika Petkovic — Bonn Qualifying Semi-final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
GER
Adrian Oetzbach
#573ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
MATCH COURT 2 · 4th on
GER10
Mika Petkovic
#435ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLWWLWW
Oetzbach A.
4-6 5-7
Petkovic M.
Oetzbach A.
450
Petkovic M.
672

Mika Petkovic defeated Adrian Oetzbach in the semifinals of the Bonn tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 7-5. Petkovic hit one ace and seven double faults, while converting 67% of break points and winning 79% of first-serve points. Petkovic broke Oetzbach's serve four times, compared to Oetzbach's two breaks.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-18M15 Uslar 1R16clayMika Petkovic6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
Oetzbach A.Petkovic M.
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Oetzbach A.38%
Petkovic M.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Petkovic M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Oetzbach A.
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Petkovic M.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
3.64 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.57 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Oetzbach A.Petkovic M.
Freshness·
—
95

Petkovic M.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw