Shunsuke Nakagawa vs Saba PurtseladzeSamsun Qualifying Semi-final

Samsun · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#957ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 3 · 3rd on
#646ATP
1220ELO
1252Hard ELO
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Nakagawa S.
7-6 6-3
Purtseladze S.
Nakagawa S.
7762
Purtseladze S.
6530

Shunsuke Nakagawa defeated Saba Purtseladze in the semifinals of the Samsun hard-court tournament, winning 7-6, 6-3. Nakagawa hit one ace and one double fault, while winning 72 percent of his first serves and converting 25 percent of break points. Purtseladze had eight aces and six double faults, with a 70 percent first-serve win rate and 100 percent break point conversion, but ultimately secured only one service break to Nakagawa's two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
65%
52%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
43%
Service points won·Even
59%
55%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
5.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
7.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Nakagawa S.56%
Purtseladze S.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.73 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Purtseladze S.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw