Matteo Martineau vs Luka Pavlovic — Segovia Final
Martineau M.Luka Pavlovic won the Segovia final, defeating Matteo Martineau 6-4, 3-6, 6-1. Pavlovic hit 14 aces to Martineau's 3 and won 81% of his first-serve points. Martineau converted 50% of his break points, but was broken three times by Pavlovic.
Key context
- Match story: Luka Pavlovic came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 3–6 6–1.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMartineau M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Pavlovic L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About