Juan Pablo Varillas vs Stefan LatinovicSan Marino Qualifying Semi-final

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#236ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 DE LUIGI · 3rd on
#1342ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLLWL
Varillas J.
7-6 6-3
Latinovic S.
Varillas J.
7762
Latinovic S.
6330

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Stefan Latinovic in the semifinals of the San Marino tournament on clay, winning 7-6, 6-3. Varillas hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, while Latinovic had 5 aces and 7 double faults. Varillas converted 67% of break points and won 2 service breaks, compared to Latinovic's 14% conversion rate and 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
55%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
66%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
34%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
7.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Varillas J.79%
Latinovic S.21%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Varillas J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.23 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Varillas J.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw