Jozef Kovalik vs Gabriele PirainoSan Marino Qualifying Semi-final

San Marino · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#860ATP
1473ELO
1466Clay ELO
33 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
COURT 2 DE LUIGI · 2nd on
#321ATP
1254ELO
1248Clay ELO
22 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLW
Kovalik J.
2-6 7-6 7-5
Piraino G.
Kovalik J.
27772
Piraino G.
66351

Jozef Kovalik defeated Gabriele Piraino in the semifinals of the San Marino clay tournament. Kovalik won 2-6, 7-6, 7-5, despite being broken three times and having a lower first-serve win percentage. Kovalik converted 67% of his break points, compared to Piraino's 50%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
60%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Kovalik J.63%
Piraino G.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kovalik J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+218 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Clay Elo 1248
7.7Overall Elo 1473
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1254
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Piraino G.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw