Gabriela Andrea Knutson vs Rebecca SramkovaWashington Qualifying Final

Washington · WTA · Qualifying Final
#186WTA
1518ELO
1467Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 2nd on
#128WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Andrea Knutson G.
3-6 2-6
Sramkova R.
Andrea Knutson G.
320
Sramkova R.
662

Rebecca Sramkova won the final of the Washington hard-court tournament, defeating Gabriela Andrea Knutson 6-3, 6-2. Sramkova hit 6 aces and 3 double faults, winning 74% of her first serves, while Knutson had 3 aces and 5 double faults, winning 78% of her first serves. Sramkova converted 75% of her break points and won 3 service breaks to Knutson's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Even
3.9
4.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.5
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
53
54
Break points saved·Dominant
80
28
Break points won·Slight edge
69
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Andrea Knutson G.44%
Sramkova R.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1467
Surface ELO
7.0+162 Hard Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1518
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1654
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
5.5Won 59% in Usa (22)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
88

Andrea Knutson G.: 12 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sramkova R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw