Daria Kasatkina vs Tyler Smith — Washington Qualifying Final
AUS2
Kasatkina D.
Daria Kasatkina won the Washington final, defeating Tyler Smith 4-6, 6-4, 6-0. Kasatkina hit 6 aces and 12 double faults, while converting 47% of her break points and winning 61% of her first-serve points. Kasatkina broke Smith's serve 7 times, compared to Smith's 4 breaks.
Key context
- Match story: Daria Kasatkina dropped the opening set before beating Tyler Smith 4–6 6–4 6–0.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Kasatkina D. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKasatkina D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Smith T.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About