Ye Xin Ma vs Aoi Ito — Memphis Qualifying Final
Memphis · WTA · Qualifying Final
Xin Ma Y.7-6 2-6 6-0
Ito A.
Xin Ma Y.
77262
Ito A.
63601
Ye Xin Ma won the Memphis hard-court final, defeating Aoi Ito 7-6, 2-6, 6-0. Ye Xin Ma hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, while Ito hit 1 ace and 5 double faults. Ye Xin Ma converted 50% of her break points and Ito converted 45%, with Ye Xin Ma securing 6 service breaks to Ito's 5.
Key context
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
51%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
4.1
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCXin Ma Y.48%
Ito A.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1441
Surface ELO6.6+127 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1450
ELO gap6.2Overall Elo 1549
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streakFatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
31°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 82%