Nicolas Mejia vs A. HernandezLos Cabos Qualifying Semi-final

Los Cabos · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#122ATP
1477ELO
1424Hard ELO
$142kYTD
$524kCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
hard
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLLL
Mejia N.
5-7 2-6
Hernandez A.
Mejia N.
520
Hernandez A.
762

Alejandro Hernandez defeated Nicolas Mejia 7-5, 6-2 in the semifinals of the Los Cabos tournament on hard courts. Hernandez hit one ace and six double faults, while Mejia had eight aces and four double faults. Hernandez converted 36% of break points and won four service breaks to Mejia's one.

Key context

  • Match story: A. Hernandez closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
60%
1st serve points won·
70%
2nd serve points won·
55%
Service points won·
64%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
62%
Aces / match·
5.0
Double faults / match·
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Mejia N.74%
Hernandez A.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mejia N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
100

Mejia N.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d) · Hernandez A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw