Francesca Jones vs Fiona Ferro — Palermo Final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Final
Francesca Jones
GBR1
Francesca Jones
#104WTA
1619ELO
1621Clay ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
Fiona Ferro
FRA7
Fiona Ferro
#146WTA
1662ELO
1605Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Jones F.
6-0 4-6 7-6
Ferro F.
Jones F.
64782
Ferro F.
06661

Francesca Jones won the final of the Palermo tournament, defeating Fiona Ferro 6-0, 4-6, 7-6 on clay. Jones and Ferro were even in aces with zero each, but Jones had more double faults, 4 to 1. Jones converted 40% of her break points and Ferro converted 44%, with Jones ultimately securing 6 service breaks to Ferro's 4.

Around the match

  • “I love Italy, it's my favourite country. Winning here is beautiful.”

    Jones F.palermoladiesopen.it ↗· 2026-07-27

  • “I'm sorry about the result, it was a hard-fought match. I'm happy to be back in Palermo.”

    Ferro F.palermoladiesopen.it ↗· 2026-07-27

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Jones F.Ferro F.
1st serve in·Even
66%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
49%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jones F.Ferro F.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
76
10
Break points saved·Dominant
80
3
Break points won·Slight edge
96
89
Deciding sets·Dominant
70
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Jones F.45%
Ferro F.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jones F.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ferro F.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.2+16 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1605
4.5Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1662
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
9.49 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on clay
10.09-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jones F.Ferro F.
Freshness·
100
—

Jones F.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw