Roger Pascual Ferra vs Colton Smith — Los Cabos Qualifying Semi-final
Pascual Ferra R.
Roger Pascual Ferra advanced to the Los Cabos semifinals with a 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 win over Colton Smith. Pascual Ferra hit 0 aces and 3 double faults, while Smith had 2 aces and 7 double faults. Pascual Ferra converted 54% of break points and broke Smith's serve 7 times, compared to Smith's 5 breaks.
Key context
- Match story: Roger Pascual Ferra dropped the opening set before beating Colton Smith 4–6 6–2 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 04:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Smith C. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadPascual Ferra R.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Smith C.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About