Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Louis WesselsBonn Qualifying Semi-final

Bonn · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#281ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 26 July 2026 ·
clay
MATCH COURT 3 · 4th on
#530ATP
27 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWLW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
6-3 6-4
Wessels L.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
662
Wessels L.
340

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida defeated Louis Wessels in the semifinals of the Bonn tournament on clay, winning 6-3, 6-4. Pucinelli De Almeida hit 2 aces and 2 double faults, winning 78% of his first serves and converting 33% of break points. He broke Wessels' serve twice, while Wessels had 6 aces, 3 double faults, and a 62% first-serve win percentage.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
40%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
4.3
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
5
34
Break points saved·Dominant
36
71
Break points won·Dominant
43
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
58
Tiebreaks·Dominant
1
53

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Pucinelli De Almeida M.64%
Wessels L.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pucinelli De Almeida M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
7.88 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw