Lea Ma vs Katie Swan — Washington Qualifying Semi-final
Washington · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
—
Sets
Cancelled
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 4th on
Ma L.vs
Swan K.
The Washington qualifying semi-final between Lea Ma and Katie Swan was cancelled. Cancellations usually follow weather, a scheduling change, or a withdrawal.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTCMa L.35%
Swan K.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Swan K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1367
Surface ELO6.4+110 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1383
ELO gap7.1Overall Elo 1554
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form3.23 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 44%