Polina Kudermetova vs Mei YamaguchiWashington Qualifying Semi-final

Washington · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#97WTA
1727ELO
1646Hard ELO
23 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
JOHN HARRIS · 2nd on
#261WTA
1448ELO
1420Hard ELO
27 yrs · 152 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWLW
Kudermetova P.
7-6 6-4
Yamaguchi M.
Kudermetova P.
7862
Yamaguchi M.
6640

Polina Kudermetova defeated Mei Yamaguchi in the semifinals of the Washington tournament, winning 7-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Kudermetova and Yamaguchi were even in aces, 2-2, and were nearly even in double faults, 9-7 in Kudermetova's disadvantage. Kudermetova won 64% of her first serves, converted 55% of break points, and earned 6 service breaks to advance.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-12-06W100 Dubai 1QFhardPolina Kudermetova0-6 6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.8
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Kudermetova P.71%
Yamaguchi M.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kudermetova P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+226 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1420
8.5Overall Elo 1727
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1448
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
86

Kudermetova P.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 43%

Draw