Lilli Tagger vs Barbora KrejcikovaLivesport Prague Open Semi-final

Livesport Prague Open · WTA · Semi-final
#48WTA
1684ELO
1687Hard ELO
18 yrs · 185 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
LIVESPORT ARENA · 3rd on
#26WTA
1874ELO
1820Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWW
Tagger L.
6-7 6-3 7-6
Krejcikova B.
Tagger L.
656772
Krejcikova B.
773641

Lilli Tagger defeated Barbora Krejcikova 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 in the semifinals of the Livesport Prague Open. Tagger hit 12 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Krejcikova had 7 aces and 9 double faults. Tagger converted 33% of break points and broke Krejcikova's serve 3 times, compared to 2 breaks for Krejcikova.

Around the match

  • An incredible match. To be honest, I remember Barbora Krejcikova from before; I saw her play at the Grand Slams and it was a great experience for me. So I was quite nervous before the match. But now I am really happy. I just beat her!

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
66%
Aces / match·Even
4.2
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.1
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Tagger L.37%
Krejcikova B.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Krejcikova B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1687
Surface ELO
6.7+132 Hard Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1684
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1874
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
9.39 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
10.08-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
88

Tagger L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Krejcikova B.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw