Zachary Svajda vs Stefan KozlovWashington Qualifying Semi-final

Washington · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
#84ATP
1718ELO
1690Hard ELO
$631kYTD
$1.9MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#296ATP
1429ELO
1408Hard ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWW
Svajda Z.
7-5 6-1
Kozlov S.
Svajda Z.
762
Kozlov S.
510

Zachary Svajda defeated Stefan Kozlov in the semifinals of the Washington tournament, winning 7-5, 6-1 on hard courts. Svajda hit 5 aces to Kozlov's 3 and converted 50% of his break points compared to Kozlov's 29%. Svajda won 76% of his first-serve points to Kozlov's 61%, and he broke Kozlov's serve 5 times to Kozlov's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Zachary Svajda came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–5 6–1.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-10Delray BeachQ1hardZachary Svajda6-3 6-0
2025-02-08Delray BeachQ16hardZachary Svajda6-3 6-0
2023-02-06DallasQ2hardZachary Svajda6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
22
11
Break points saved·Dominant
81
29
Break points won·Clear edge
58
35
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
54
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
12
7

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Svajda Z.76%
Kozlov S.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svajda Z. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.5+282 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.5Hard Elo 1408
8.6Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
1.4Overall Elo 1429
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.73 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
5.8Won 64% in Usa (64)
Country comfort
5.9Won 65% in Usa (23)
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
86

Svajda Z.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Kozlov S.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw