Shuai Zhang vs Gabriela Andrea KnutsonWashington Qualifying Semi-final

Washington · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
#54WTA
1718ELO
1695Hard ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 5 · 4th on
#186WTA
1518ELO
1467Hard ELO
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLW
Zhang S.
4-6 6-1 1-6
Andrea Knutson G.
Zhang S.
4611
Andrea Knutson G.
6162

Gabriela Andrea Knutson defeated Shuai Zhang in the semifinals of the Washington tournament, advancing with a 6-4, 1-6, 6-1 victory on hard courts. Knutson hit 8 aces to Zhang's 1 and won 71% of her first-serve points, while converting 50% of her break points. Knutson secured 5 service breaks to Zhang's 4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.2
3.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
4.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (39 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
46
53
Break points saved·Dominant
12
80
Break points won·Clear edge
90
69
Deciding sets·Clear edge
59
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
78
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Zhang S.63%
Andrea Knutson G.37%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zhang S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+228 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1467
7.5Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1518
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.15 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
5.4Won 57% in Usa (21)
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
69
88

Zhang S.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Andrea Knutson G.: 9 days rest · 5 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw