Jacob Fearnley vs Michael ZhengBloomfield Hills Semi-final

Bloomfield Hills · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#107ATP
1600ELO
1565Hard ELO
$342kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#110ATP
1695ELO
1672Hard ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWW
Fearnley J.
6-3 6-4
Zheng M.
Fearnley J.
662
Zheng M.
340

Jacob Fearnley defeated Michael Zheng in the semifinals of the Bloomfield Hills hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4. Fearnley hit 8 aces to Zheng's 2 and converted 33% of break points, while Zheng did not convert any. Fearnley won 2 service breaks to Zheng's 0 in advancing to the final.

Around the match

  • My dad has always told me that grass suits my game, and I hadn't done that well on clay, hadn't played on it in two years, and am already qualifying in Paris, so on grass, a surface where I feel more comfortable, why not give myself that chance to qualify there?

    Zheng M.ZooTennis
  • I think I definitely underperformed a little bit during the season. I think I started playing better toward the end, and then we were a little bit unlucky that we drew UVA in the second round at NCAAs.

    Zheng M.ZooTennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Even
5.9
5.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Fearnley J.41%
Zheng M.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Zheng M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1565
Surface ELO
6.3+107 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1600
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1695
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.3Won 88% in Usa (25)
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in Usa (48)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
90
58

Fearnley J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Zheng M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 124 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw