Aleksandar Vukic vs Aziz Dougaz — Washington Qualifying Semi-final

Washington · ATP · Qualifying Semi-final
Aleksandar Vukic
AUS3
Aleksandar Vukic
#99ATP
1630ELO
1597Hard ELO
$366kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 4 · 1st on
Aziz Dougaz
TUNPR
Aziz Dougaz
#629ATP
1390ELO
1374Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Vukic A.
6-3 6-3
Dougaz A.
Vukic A.
662
Dougaz A.
330

Aleksandar Vukic defeated Aziz Dougaz in the semifinals of the Washington tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3 on hard courts. Vukic hit 11 aces to Dougaz's 3 and did not commit a double fault, while converting 50% of his break points to break serve three times. Dougaz converted none of his break points and committed five double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Vukic A.Dougaz A.
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
71%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.5
7.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Vukic A.Dougaz A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
8
Break points saved·Even
90
86
Break points won·Slight edge
7
2
Deciding sets·Clear edge
15
2
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Vukic A.61%
Dougaz A.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vukic A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Vukic A.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Dougaz A.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+223 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Hard Elo 1374
8.0Overall Elo 1630
ELO gap
2.0Overall Elo 1390
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Vukic A.Dougaz A.
Freshness·Dominant
84
54

Vukic A.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 54 games (7d) · Dougaz A.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 106 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 83%

Draw