Duje Markovina vs Jake DelaneyM15 Brisbane Semi-final

M15 Brisbane · ITF · Semi-final
#1009ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
#358ATP
1103ELO
1088Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Markovina D.
7-5 2-6 3-6
Delaney J.
Markovina D.
7231
Delaney J.
5662

Jake Delaney defeated Duje Markovina in the semifinals of the M15 Brisbane tournament, coming back from a set down to win 5-7, 6-2, 6-3. Delaney hit 7 aces to Markovina's 2 and had a higher first-serve win percentage, 78 to 55. Delaney converted 50% of his break points, while Markovina converted all of his, but Delaney won more service breaks, 4 to 1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-15M25 BrisbaneR32hardJake Delaney6-7(1) 4-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
24%
35%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.2
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Markovina D.57%
Delaney J.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
1.91 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw