Matteo Martineau vs Oliver CrawfordSegovia Semi-final

Segovia · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#286ATP
1417ELO
1398Hard ELO
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
PISTA PEDRO MUÑOZ · 3rd on
#227ATP
1444ELO
1413Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWW
Martineau M.
6-3 5-7 7-6
Crawford O.
Martineau M.
65772
Crawford O.
37641

Matteo Martineau defeated Oliver Crawford in the semifinals of the Segovia tournament, winning 6-3, 5-7, 7-6 on hard courts. Martineau hit 6 aces to Crawford's 2 and converted 75% of his break points, compared to Crawford's 30%. Both players earned 3 service breaks apiece.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
3.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
9
12
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
64
Break points won·Clear edge
1
18
Deciding sets·Clear edge
3
19
Tiebreaks·Even
13
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Martineau M.42%
Crawford O.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1398
Surface ELO
5.2+14 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1417
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1444
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.47 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Martineau M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw