Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halys — Kitzbuhel Final

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Final
Alexander Bublik
KAZ1
Alexander Bublik
#13ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
Quentin Halys
FRA
Quentin Halys
#57ATP
1707ELO
1664Clay ELO
$721kYTD
$5.4MCAREER
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Bublik A.
4-6 6-7
Halys Q.
Bublik A.
4660
Halys Q.
6782

Quentin Halys won the Kitzbuhel final, defeating Alexander Bublik 6-4, 7-6 on clay. Halys hit 17 aces to Bublik's 6 and converted 17% of break points, while Bublik converted none. Halys also had a higher first-serve win percentage at 87% compared to Bublik's 66%, and he broke Bublik's serve once.

Around the match

  • “It's tough not to think about my family, because since I was a kid the goal was to win an ATP title and today the dream came true. So thanks to my parents, my grandparents and everybody who made this possible.”

    Halys Q.Tennis Now ↗

  • “I think I played an amazing match today. Sascha is such an amazing player, so I knew I had to play an amazing match to win and that's what I did, so I'm so happy.”

    Halys Q.Tennis Now ↗

  • “I think winning a first ATP title is going to mean a lot. I remember my first one. I was chasing it for maybe five or six finals, and you did it in the second one, so big congrats to you.”

    Bublik A.Tennis Now ↗

  • “He played great when he beat me last week in Gstaad. It certainly wasn't luck that he won.”

    Bublik A.World Tennis Magazine ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-17GstaadR16clayQuentin Halys7-6(4) 4-6 6-7(5)

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Halys Q.
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
68%
68%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
11.9
10.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Halys Q.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
81
51
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Dominant
54
2
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
74
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
91
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Bublik A.68%
Halys Q.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Bublik A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Halys Q.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0+158 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1664
7.3Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1707
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Halys Q.
Freshness·
—
68

Halys Q.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw