Fiona Ferro vs Lucia BronzettiPalermo Semi-final

Palermo · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#146WTA
1662ELO
1605Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTRALE · 3rd on
#116WTA
1622ELO
1605Clay ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Ferro F.
6-2 6-3
Bronzetti L.
Ferro F.
662
Bronzetti L.
230

Fiona Ferro defeated Lucia Bronzetti in the semifinals of the Palermo tournament on clay, winning 6-2, 6-3. Ferro did not hit an ace and did not commit a double fault, while Bronzetti had one of each. Ferro converted 36% of her break points and broke Bronzetti's serve four times, compared to one service break for Bronzetti.

Around the match

  • I'm happy with the win and to be back in the final at Palermo. I have beautiful memories here and playing for the title again is something special.

    Ferro F.palermoladiesopen.it· 2026-07-25

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (40 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
10
18
Break points saved·Clear edge
3
17
Break points won·Clear edge
89
73
Deciding sets·Clear edge
13
25
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
4
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Ferro F.47%
Bronzetti L.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0+0 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.0Clay Elo 1605
5.5Overall Elo 1662
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1622
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bronzetti L.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw