Alexander Blockx vs Luciano DarderiEstoril Semi-final

Estoril · ATP · Semi-final
#32ATP
1906ELO
1868Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$1.8MCAREER
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
clay
ESTADIO MILLENNIUM · 3rd on
#20ATP
1835ELO
1836Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Blockx A.
5-7 7-6 7-6
Darderi L.
Blockx A.
577772
Darderi L.
761651

Alexander Blockx defeated Luciano Darderi in the Estoril semifinals, 5-7, 7-6, 7-6. Blockx hit 8 aces and 6 double faults, winning 74% of his first serves and converting 62% of break points. Darderi had 5 aces and 4 double faults, winning 63% of his first serves and converting 43% of break points; he also had 6 service breaks to Blockx's 5.

Around the match

  • Darderi staged a dramatic comeback from 6-2, 5-2 down against Jaime Faria to win 2-6, 7-5, 6-2, extending his exceptional clay-court form with 22 of 27 ATP wins this year on clay.

    Darderi L.The Grandstand

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
61%
Aces / match·Even
6.9
6.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
71
67
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
89
Break points won·Slight edge
27
22
Deciding sets·Even
95
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Blockx A.41%
Darderi L.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Darderi L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+32 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1836
5.9Overall Elo 1906
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1834
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
79

Blockx A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Darderi L.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw