Chia Yi Tsao vs Natsuho ArakawaW15 Brisbane 2 Semi-final

W15 Brisbane 2 · ITF · Semi-final
#831WTA
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
#901WTA
28 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLL
Yi Tsao C.
6-2 3-6 3-6
Arakawa N.
Yi Tsao C.
6331
Arakawa N.
2662

Natsuho Arakawa defeated Chia Yi Tsao in the W15 Brisbane 2 (hard) match, winning 2-6, 6-3, 6-3. Arakawa hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, while Tsao had 5 aces and 2 double faults. Arakawa converted 40% of break points and won 4 service breaks, compared to Tsao's 60% conversion rate and 3 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
40%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Yi Tsao C.70%
Arakawa N.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Yi Tsao C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.12 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
17°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw