Avery Alexander vs Martina OkalovaVancouver Qualifying Semi-final

Vancouver · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Semi-final
#1015WTA
16 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 25 July 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
#482WTA
1284ELO
1296Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWL
Alexander A.
6-4 4-6 7-6
Okalova M.
Alexander A.
64772
Okalova M.
46651

Avery Alexander defeated Martina Okalova in the Vancouver semifinals. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 in favor of Alexander. Alexander served one ace and committed two double faults, while Okalova had no aces and 12 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
39%
Service points won·Even
53%
51%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
47%
Aces / match·Even
0.6
0.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Alexander A.51%
Okalova M.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.31 of last 7 on hard
Surface form
3.63 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Alexander A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw