Henri Squire vs Otto VirtanenTampere Quarter-final

Tampere · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#208ATP
1511ELO
1490Clay ELO
25 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#116ATP
1706ELO
1532Clay ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLL
Squire H.
2-5
Virtanen O.
Squire H.
20
Virtanen O.
50

Otto Virtanen advanced to the semifinals of the Tampere quarterfinals on clay, as Henri Squire retired during their match. At the time of Squire's retirement, Virtanen led 5-2. Virtanen converted two of four break points and won 79 percent of his first-serve points en route to the win.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-20M25 Vilnius 1QFhardOtto Virtanen6-3 7-6(6)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
9.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
40
11
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
82
Break points won·Slight edge
12
1
Deciding sets·Dominant
65
29
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
33
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Squire H.38%
Virtanen O.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Virtanen O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1490
Surface ELO
5.5+41 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1706
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.34 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
90

Squire H.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Virtanen O.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 53%

Draw