Mathieu Scaglia vs Julio Cesar Porras — M15 Rognac Quarter-final
M15 Rognac · ITF · Quarter-final
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
Scaglia M.6-2 4-6 6-7
Porras J.
Scaglia M.
64641
Porras J.
26772
Julio Cesar Porras defeated Mathieu Scaglia in the quarterfinals of the M15 Rognac tournament. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 6-4, 7-6 in favor of Porras. Porras hit one ace and committed two double faults, while Scaglia had seven aces and five double faults.
Key context
- Match story: Julio Cesar Porras dropped the opening set before beating Mathieu Scaglia 2–6 6–4 7–6.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
57%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
45%
Break points saved·Dominant
73%
20%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.7
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
2.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTCScaglia M.59%
Porras J.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Scaglia M. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
2.22 of last 8 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0Lost last 5
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 38%