Michele Mecarelli vs M. Van Der MeerschenM15 Segrate Quarter-final

M15 Segrate · ITF · Quarter-final
#965ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
#702ATP
26 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWWLWW
Mecarelli M.
6-4 3-6 6-7
Van Der Meerschen M.
Mecarelli M.
63631
Van Der Meerschen M.
46772

Mattias Van Der Meerschen defeated Michele Mecarelli 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 in the quarterfinals of the M15 Segrate tournament on clay. Van Der Meerschen and Mecarelli were evenly matched in service breaks, each converting five. Van Der Meerschen hit zero aces and four double faults, while Mecarelli had one ace and three double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
71%
57%
Aces / match·Even
3.6
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.4
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Mecarelli M.49%
Van Der Meerschen M.51%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Mecarelli M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw