Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina KalininaHamburg Quarter-final

Hamburg · WTA · Quarter-final
#47WTA
1668ELO
1655Clay ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 4th on
#51WTA
1827ELO
1806Clay ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Korpatsch T.
6-3 1-6 6-1
Kalinina A.
Korpatsch T.
6162
Kalinina A.
3611

Tamara Korpatsch defeated Anhelina Kalinina in the Hamburg quarterfinals, advancing with a 6-3, 1-6, 6-1 victory. Korpatsch hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, winning 60% of her first serves and converting 55% of break points. She won 6 service breaks to Kalinina's 5.

Around the match

  • The legs were really good today, but maybe I shouldn't go to three sets every time. I just did what my father told me. But I won't tell you what it was.

    Korpatsch T.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-24
  • I don't know her yet. We've never played each other. But I'll watch a bit of footage and then I'm sure I'll be well prepared.

    Korpatsch T.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-23

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
55%
58%
Return points won·Even
46%
49%
Break points saved·Even
56%
60%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
30
41
Break points saved·Slight edge
2
11
Break points won·Slight edge
79
89
Deciding sets·Clear edge
66
85
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
19
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Korpatsch T.35%
Kalinina A.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kalinina A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.1Clay Elo 1655
Surface ELO
6.9+150 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1668
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1827
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
81

Korpatsch T.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Kalinina A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw