Max Houkes vs Patrick Zahraj — M25 Metzingen Quarter-final

M25 Metzingen · ITF · Quarter-final
NED1
Max Houkes
#242ATP
1460ELO
1444Clay ELO
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
GER5
Patrick Zahraj
#413ATP
1331ELO
1259Clay ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLL
Houkes M.
6-3 3-6 4-6
Zahraj P.
Houkes M.
6341
Zahraj P.
3662

Patrick Zahraj advanced to the M25 Metzingen quarterfinals with a 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 win over Max Houkes. Zahraj and Houkes were even in aces (3) and double faults (4 for Zahraj, 3 for Houkes). Zahraj converted 25% of break points and won 77% of first-serve points, while Houkes converted 10% of break points and won 73% of first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Houkes M.Zahraj P.
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
44%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
61%
62%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
3.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.6
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Houkes M.Zahraj P.
Clutch Rating·Even
23
20
Break points saved·Even
66
69
Break points won·Clear edge
29
10
Deciding sets·Dominant
34
7
Tiebreaks·Dominant
16
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Houkes M.60%
Zahraj P.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Houkes M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Houkes M.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Zahraj P.
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.3+185 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Clay Elo 1259
6.6Overall Elo 1460
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1331
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.01 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Houkes M.Zahraj P.
Freshness·Even
88
87

Houkes M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Zahraj P.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 29%

Draw