Natalija Senic vs Ariana Geerlings — W15 Kursumlijska Banja 10 Quarter-final

W15 Kursumlijska Banja 10 · ITF · Quarter-final
SRB1
Natalija Senic
#352WTA
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
ESP6
Ariana Geerlings
#910WTA
1466ELO
1428Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Senic N.
2-6 6-3 4-6
Geerlings A.
Senic N.
2641
Geerlings A.
6362

Ariana Geerlings defeated Natalija Senic in the quarterfinals of the W15 Kursumlijska Banja 10 clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 in favor of Geerlings.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Senic N.Geerlings A.
1st serve in·
69%
—
1st serve points won·
59%
—
2nd serve points won·
45%
—
Service points won·
55%
—
Return points won·
51%
—
Break points saved·
47%
—
Aces / match·
0.8
—
Double faults / match·
1.5
—

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Senic N.52%
Geerlings A.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Senic N.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Geerlings A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw