Tiago Torres vs Hugo GastonEstoril Quarter-final

Estoril · ATP · Quarter-final
#352ATP
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
ESTADIO MILLENNIUM · 1st on
#97ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$376kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWWW
Torres T.
3-6 4-6
Gaston H.
Torres T.
340
Gaston H.
662

Hugo Gaston defeated Tiago Torres 6-3, 6-4 in the Estoril quarterfinals. Gaston converted 45% of his break points and secured five service breaks, while Torres converted 33% of his break points and secured two service breaks. Gaston hit one ace and zero double faults, while Torres hit three aces and seven double faults.

Around the match

  • Torres, after beating Tabilo, is full of confidence and surely thinks he is capable of anything here.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Hugo Gaston closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
52%
53%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
40%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.9
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.6
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Torres T.32%
Gaston H.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gaston H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.47 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Gaston H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
22°CPartly cloudy
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw