Matteo Martineau vs Yanki Erel — Segovia Quarter-final
Martineau M.
Matteo Martineau defeated Yanki Erel in the quarterfinals of the Segovia tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4 on hard courts. Martineau converted 75% of his break points and secured three service breaks, compared to Erel's one. Martineau and Erel were even in aces (1 each) and nearly even in double faults (2 for Martineau, 1 for Erel).
Key context
- Match story: Matteo Martineau edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Erel Y. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMartineau M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Erel Y.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About