August Holmgren vs Liam Draxl — Winnipeg Round of 16
DEN4
CAN
Holmgren A.
Liam Draxl defeated August Holmgren in the Round of 16 at the Winnipeg hard-court tournament. The match was decided in three sets, with Draxl taking the first set 7-5, losing the second 1-6, before winning the third 6-4.
Key context
- Match story: Liam Draxl closed it out in three sets, 7–5 1–6 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadHolmgren A.: 21 days rest · Draxl L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About