Jaime Faria vs Luciano DarderiEstoril Quarter-final

Estoril · ATP · Quarter-final
#79ATP
1735ELO
1706Clay ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
ESTADIO MILLENNIUM · 4th on
#20ATP
1835ELO
1836Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLWLW
Faria J.
6-2 5-7 2-6
Darderi L.
Faria J.
6521
Darderi L.
2762

Luciano Darderi defeated Jaime Faria 2-6, 7-5, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the Estoril tournament. Darderi converted 40% of his break points, while Faria converted 27%, and Darderi won four service breaks to Faria's three. Darderi hit four aces and one double fault, compared to Faria's seven aces and four double faults.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24SantiagoR32clayJaime Faria6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
62%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.1
6.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (49 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
89
Break points won·Even
22
22
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Faria J.39%
Darderi L.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Darderi L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Clay Elo 1706
Surface ELO
6.6+129 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1735
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1834
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
7.78 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
52
85

Faria J.: played today · 5 matches, 111 games (7d) · Darderi L.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw