Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burel — Palermo Quarter-final
Palermo · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
CAMPO 6 · 2nd on
Ibragimova A.3-6 7-6 6-4
Burel C.
Ibragimova A.
37762
Burel C.
66541
Alevtina Ibragimova defeated Clara Burel 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the Palermo tournament on clay. Ibragimova converted 67% of her break points, while Burel converted 44%. Ibragimova secured 6 service breaks, one fewer than Burel's 7.
Key context
- Match story: Alevtina Ibragimova dropped the opening set before beating Clara Burel 3–6 7–6 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
59%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
51%
Return points won·Even
48%
49%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.3
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTCIbragimova A.40%
Burel C.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Burel C. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form4.84 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 62%