Rio Noguchi vs Charles Broom — Winnipeg Quarter-final

Winnipeg · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
Rio Noguchi
JPN8
Rio Noguchi
#213ATP
1532ELO
1513Hard ELO
27 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 2nd on
GBR
Charles Broom
#289ATP
1409ELO
1396Hard ELO
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
Noguchi R.
2-6 4-6
Broom C.
Noguchi R.
240
Broom C.
662

Charles Broom advanced to the semifinals of the Winnipeg hard-court tournament by defeating Rio Noguchi in the quarterfinals. Broom won the match in straight sets, 6-2, 6-4.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Noguchi R.Broom C.
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
8.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Noguchi R.Broom C.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
23
12
Break points saved·Dominant
25
56
Break points won·Dominant
26
0
Deciding sets·Dominant
82
42
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
4
10

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Noguchi R.55%
Broom C.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Noguchi R.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Broom C.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1396
6.5Overall Elo 1532
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1409
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Noguchi R.Broom C.
Freshness·Slight edge
73
64

Noguchi R.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Broom C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 26 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw