Mayar Sherif vs Paula BadosaHamburg Quarter-final

Hamburg · WTA · Quarter-final
#49WTA
1685ELO
1663Clay ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#84WTA
1780ELO
1684Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
Sherif M.
7-6 6-7 6-4
Badosa P.
Sherif M.
776262
Badosa P.
647741

Mayar Sherif defeated Paula Badosa in the Hamburg quarterfinals, winning 7-6, 6-7, 6-4. Sherif hit one ace and three double faults, while converting 50% of her break points and securing eight service breaks. Badosa recorded two aces and 12 double faults, converting 39% of her break points and securing seven service breaks.

Around the match

  • It was an incredibly high level, I haven't experienced something like that in a long time. I simply believed in what I've been doing these past weeks. And when you do that, you get rewarded in the end.

    Sherif M.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-24
  • We were on the same flight and talked for what felt like two and a half hours. As I always say: we're ambitious players, but after the match I'm friendly to everyone – to those who are nice, of course. She's a nice person, so I have no problem with that.

    Badosa P.hamburg-open.com· 2026-07-24
  • Lost to Sherif in a three-hour quarterfinal despite strong break-point defense, days after retiring in the Iasi final with a leg injury.

    Badosa P.Yardbarker

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-20IasiFclayMayar Sherif6-4 4-0
2023-04-03CharlestonR64clayPaula Badosa6-3 6-1
2013-09-09Lleida 10KQFclayMayar Sherif6-3 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
78%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
41%
Service points won·Even
56%
56%
Return points won·Even
47%
44%
Break points saved·Even
53%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.8
4.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
7.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (47 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
91
Break points saved·Dominant
22
84
Break points won·Dominant
48
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Sherif M.41%
Badosa P.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Badosa P. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1663
Surface ELO
5.3+22 Clay Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1685
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1780
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
10.010 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on clay
10.012-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CPartly cloudy
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw