Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche — Estoril Quarter-final
RUS1
Rublev A.
Luca Van Assche defeated Andrey Rublev in the Estoril quarterfinals, 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. Van Assche converted 18% of break points, while Rublev converted 9%, as Van Assche secured two service breaks to Rublev's one. Van Assche served five aces to Rublev's eight and committed two double faults to Rublev's four.
Key context
- Match story: Luca Van Assche dropped the opening set before beating Andrey Rublev 3–6 6–3 6–4.
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-29 | Washington | R32 | hard | Andrey Rublev | 4-6 6-3 6-4 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 39). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Rublev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadRublev A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About