Ariana Arseneault vs Alyssa AhnW35 Saskatoon Quarter-final

W35 Saskatoon · ITF · Quarter-final
#381WTA
1273ELO
1260Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 24 July 2026 ·
hard
#888WTA
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLL
Arseneault A.
6-2 6-3
Ahn A.
Arseneault A.
662
Ahn A.
230

Ariana Arseneault defeated Alyssa Ahn 6-2, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the W35 Saskatoon tournament. Arseneault hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, winning 65% of her first-serve points and converting 31% of her break points. She won 5 service breaks to Ahn's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
59%
45%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
55%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.7
0.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Arseneault A.41%
Ahn A.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ahn A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Arseneault A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw