Mutsumi Uemura vs Natsuki YoshimotoW15 Brisbane 2 Round of 16

W15 Brisbane 2 · ITF · Round of 16
#861WTA
56 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#581WTA
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWLWWW
Uemura M.
2-6 0-6
Yoshimoto N.
Uemura M.
200
Yoshimoto N.
662

Natsuki Yoshimoto defeated Mutsumi Uemura in the Round of 16 at the W15 Brisbane 2. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-0 in favor of Yoshimoto. Yoshimoto hit 2 aces and 0 double faults, while Uemura had 0 aces and 4 double faults; Yoshimoto won 77% of her first-serve points and converted 62% of break points, securing 5 service breaks to Uemura's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
49%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
49%
55%
Return points won·Even
46%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
44%
50%
Aces / match·Even
0.3
0.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Uemura M.32%
Yoshimoto N.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Yoshimoto N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.67 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw