Renata Zarazua vs Sloane StephensW100 Evansville Round of 16

W100 Evansville · ITF · Round of 16
#73WTA
1663ELO
1639Hard ELO
28 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#240WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Zarazua R.
2-6 6-3 6-2
Stephens S.
Zarazua R.
2662
Stephens S.
6321

Renata Zarazua defeated Sloane Stephens 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the W100 Evansville. Zarazua hit one ace and one double fault, while Stephens hit two aces and five double faults. Zarazua converted 53% of her break points and broke Stephens' serve eight times, compared to Stephens' six service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30CharlestonR64clayRenata Zarazua6-2 6-0
2026-01-05AucklandR32hardRenata Zarazua7-5 4-6 6-2
2020-02-24AcapulcoR32hardRenata Zarazua6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
74%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Even
55%
57%
Return points won·Even
43%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.5
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
14
59
Break points saved·Clear edge
9
26
Break points won·Slight edge
79
90
Deciding sets·Dominant
24
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
6
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Zarazua R.37%
Stephens S.63%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Stephens S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1630
4.8Overall Elo 1663
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1682
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.23 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
70

Zarazua R.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Stephens S.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw