Henri Squire vs Franco RoncadelliTampere Round of 16

Tampere · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#208ATP
1511ELO
1490Clay ELO
25 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#237ATP
1495ELO
1478Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWL
Squire H.
6-3 6-3
Roncadelli F.
Squire H.
662
Roncadelli F.
330

Henri Squire defeated Franco Roncadelli 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the Tampere clay court tournament. Squire hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, while Roncadelli had none of either. Squire won 64% of his first serves and converted 75% of his break points, securing 6 service breaks to Roncadelli's 3.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
74%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
46%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
0.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
40
41
Break points saved·Dominant
87
19
Break points won·Dominant
12
59
Deciding sets·Clear edge
65
85
Tiebreaks·
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Squire H.54%
Roncadelli F.46%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.2+12 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.8Clay Elo 1478
5.2Overall Elo 1511
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1495
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
100

Squire H.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Roncadelli F.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw