Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Nicolas ZanellatoM25 Sao Paulo Round of 16

M25 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 16
#463ATP
1219ELO
1209Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#757ATP
24 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLWWW
Rodriguez L.
6-1 6-3
Zanellato N.
Rodriguez L.
662
Zanellato N.
130

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez defeated Nicolas Zanellato 6-1, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Sao Paulo tournament on clay. Rodriguez converted 67% of his break points and won 66% of his first-serve points, while both players hit zero aces and one double fault each. Rodriguez secured four service breaks to Zanellato's zero, advancing him to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
60%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Rodriguez L.46%
Zanellato N.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
2.73 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw