Salvador Price vs Carlos Maria ZarateM25 Sao Paulo Round of 16

M25 Sao Paulo · ITF · Round of 16
#1037ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#394ATP
1200ELO
1187Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
Price S.
3-6 7-6 3-6
Maria Zarate C.
Price S.
37731
Maria Zarate C.
66362

Carlos Maria Zarate defeated Salvador Price 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Sao Paulo tournament. Zarate hit 2 aces and 13 double faults, winning 71% of his first serves and converting 44% of break points. He won 7 service breaks to Price's 5, advancing to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
73%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
32%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
44%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
44%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
4.0
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Price S.27%
Maria Zarate C.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Maria Zarate C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.62 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw