Margaux Rouvroy vs Lea NilssonW50 Horb Round of 16

W50 Horb · ITF · Round of 16
#338WTA
1416ELO
1372Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
#375WTA
18 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLL
Rouvroy M.
3-6 6-2 1-6
Nilsson L.
Rouvroy M.
3611
Nilsson L.
6262

Lea Nilsson defeated Margaux Rouvroy 6-3, 2-6, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the W50 Horb clay tournament. Nilsson hit one ace and two double faults, while Rouvroy had no aces and five double faults. Nilsson converted 64% of her break points and won seven service breaks to Rouvroy's five.

Key context

  • Match story: Lea Nilsson closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-14W50 Funchal 1QFhardLea Nilsson7-6(5) 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
48%
Break points saved·Even
58%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.2
0.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Rouvroy M.47%
Nilsson L.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Rouvroy M.: 21 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
17°CPartly cloudy
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw