Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg vs Igor Ribeiro MarcondesTampere Round of 16

Tampere · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#329ATP
1413ELO
1369Clay ELO
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#316ATP
1517ELO
1505Clay ELO
29 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLL
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
7-6 6-7 2-6
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
Gueymard Wayenburg S.
776221
Ribeiro Marcondes I.
657762

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes defeated Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg in the Round of 16 at the Tampere clay court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 7-6, 6-2 in favor of Marcondes. Key stats included Marcondes' 5 service breaks to Gueymard Wayenburg's 3, and Marcondes converting 42% of break points to Gueymard Wayenburg's 33%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
55%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
39%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
53%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Gueymard Wayenburg S.32%
Ribeiro Marcondes I.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ribeiro Marcondes I. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Clay Elo 1369
Surface ELO
6.7+136 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1412
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1517
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
75

Ribeiro Marcondes I.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 77%

Draw