M. Picard vs L. LestirM15 Rognac Round of 16

M15 Rognac · ITF · Round of 16
#1101ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 23 July 2026 ·
hard
#1468ATP
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
Picard M.
2-6 3-6
Lestir L.
Picard M.
230
Lestir L.
662

L. Lestir defeated M. Picard 6-2, 6-3 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Rognac tournament. Lestir converted 62% of break points and broke Picard's serve five times en route to the win. Picard converted 25% of break points and broke Lestir's serve once.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
53%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
1.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Picard M.55%
Lestir L.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
36°CClear
Wind 29 km/hHumidity 13%

Draw